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About Jonathan Kornafel

Jonathan is the Director of Asian Operations for Hudson Capital Energy Group which serves as a market maker and strategic hedge provider in NYMEX, ICE and DME listed futures, swaps and options.

Jonathan appears weekly on CNBC TV and on Bloomberg TV as an oil expert. Jonathan is quoted weekly in Bloomberg news articles referencing the oil market and hedging activities.

Jonathan has extensive experience in teaching of advanced option theory and hedging and trading methodologies.

Jonathan Kornafel - Director

Director, Asia
Hudson Capital Energy, LLC
jkornafel@hudsoncapitalgroup.com
Yahoo IM: j_kornafel
www.hcenergy.com
Office: +65 6509 0352
Mobile: +65 9025 2827

More Jonathan Kornafel

Implied volatility has been slow to respond to the recent move lower.
Speculative inflows may push the energies higher in the coming weeks.
Upward momentum did not last long this week.
Watch for further weakening due to increased inventories.

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Strong fuel oil price rally expected to continue

The $70 pivot in WTI crude proved too much of a magnet for the bears Tuesday, as the October crude benchmark now stands firmly above $71. Dollar weakness on the back of encouraging European and Japanese economic data pushed equities and thus the asset class that we now know as crude oil higher. Nevertheless, the short-term focus remains on the US EIA data and whether or not the API's surprising inventory draws will be matched.

The strong rally in Fuel Oil prices can be expected to continue for the foreseeable future as refinery run cuts and relatively strong bunker demand look to persist. By accepting a leveraged price floor in Singapore Fuel Oil 180cst at $380 (more than $50 below current levels), bunker consumers can gain a Zero Cost price ceiling at $450 (less than $20 above current levels) for the entirety of Q409.

Similarly, by utilizing a limited price ceiling (protection from $450 to $500) consumers willing to accept the leveraged price floor at $380 can actually receive approximately $20/MT of premium reimbursements each month of Q409 so long as Sing FO 180cst settles above $380.

Jonathan Kornafel, 19th August 2009 15:47 GMT
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