General Discussion


  • Relationship between Crude price and Bunker and BAF
  • Amos Ong
    APL Co. Pte Ltd
    GMT 03:47
    4th Jun 2008
    Anyone know the relationship between Crude price and Bunker and BAF?

    $1 increase in crude price = $? increase in bunker price = $? increase in BAF
  • Matthew Dempsey
    General Motors
    GMT 16:08
    22nd Aug 2008
    IP: x.x.251.23
    We have done a regression of the WTI against IFO 380 CST and found the following relationship: y=4.9355X - 7.1407 with an R squared of .9427. I am looking for someone to provide a stated conversation from West Texas Intermediate to IFO 380 CST that confirms this relationship.
  • Guy Wilson-Roberts
    Petromedia Ltd (Canada)

    GMT 16:23
    22nd Aug 2008
    IP: x.x.216.195
    Matthew,

    I would be very interested to see the results of your analysis. Tracking WTI v 380 this year we've found that for several months that the latter was around $100 per metric tonne undervalued, before coming into line recently.
    http://www.bunkerworld.com/news/2008/08/72831

    Maersk provides an online calculator to compute BAFs based on changes in fuel prices. The relationship between crude and bunker prices is more complex, however.
    http://baf.maerskline.com/